Risk professional reviewing an AI risk register heat map next to an AI assistant chat window

A Researcher Just Put a Number on Human Extinction. Your Risk Register Needs a Different One.

This week produced three AI stories that look separate but aren’t. Anthropic’s own alignment lead put a number on AI wiping out humanity: a chance he personally puts at more than 10% within the next decade. The company’s latest Threat Intelligence Report disclosed that it has spent the months since December 2025 detecting and blocking

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